Institute for Environmental Futures
Publications
Recent relevant publications by members of the Institute.
2026
Gobron, K., R. Hohensinn, X. Loizeau, C.E. Bulgin, C.J. Merchant, E.R. Woolliams, M.G. Cox, W. Dorigo, T. Howard, M. Langsdale, A.C. Povey, M. Ablain, J. Bogusz, A. Gruber, A. Klos & J. Mittaz (2026). A Unified Framework for Trend Uncertainty Assessment in Climate Data Record: Application to Global Mean Sea Level, Surveys in Geophysics.
Yildiz, A., Wardman, J., Shaw, R., & Mohanty, S. K. (2025). Global lessons from disaster: rethinking risk and resilience in an age of compound crises. Journal of Risk Research, 1-5.
Hill B., Liang Q., Chen H., and Bosher L.S. (2026), ‘From reach to catchment-scale impacts: High-resolution hydrodynamic modelling of Nature-based Solutions in the Cocker Catchment’, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, Volume 64.
Li, Y., Ding, H., Balzter, H., Ferreira, V., Ge, Y., Wang, H., Zhou, H., Sun, T., Shi, L., Lai, M., & Liu, X. (2026). Precise Extraction of Croplands from Remote Sensing Images in Egypt by a Dual-Encoder U-Net with Multi-Scale Axial Attention and Boundary Constraints. Land, 15(2), 305.
Klaar, M., Quincey, D., Watson, C.S., Brown, L.E., Pariyar, B., Gosal, A. and Lovett, J. (2026) ‘Modelling water use in Nepal’s highlands: a multidisciplinary and probabilistic framework’, Journal of Mountain Science, 23(2), pp. 489–504.
Pariyar, B. (2026) ‘Caste equity and humanitarian aid: Dalit-led NGO perspectives on Nepal’s 2015 earthquake response’, Development in Practice, pp. 1–13.
Verhoelst, T., Povey, A.C., Gruber, A. et al. (2026) Confidently Uncertain: Validating Satellite ECV Measurement Uncertainty Estimates. Surv Geophys.
Dawson, L.; and Ahuja, J. (2026). Building a critical minerals circular economy: Conceptualising new ways to maximise the potential of extended producer responsibility (EPR). Environmental Law Review.
2025
Benyon, M., Kwatala, N., Laban, T., Kapwata, T., Batini, C., Cai, S., Micklesfield, L.K., Panchal, R., Kunene, S., Zondo, S.B. and Language, B. (2025). Household PM2.5 in a South African urban and rural setting: A comparative analysis using low-cost sensors. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 16(5), p.102459.
Pamaong, M.T.P., Yildiz, A., Shaw, R. (2025). Evolution of Disaster Education in the Schools: The Experience of Asia and the Pacific Region. In: Shaw, R., Izumi, T., Djalante, R., Imamura, F. (eds) Two Decades from the Indian Ocean Tsunami. Disaster Risk Reduction. Springer, Singapore.
Y Alhassan, S Petrovskii (2025) Growth of Oxygen Minimum Zones may indicate approach of global anoxia. Mathematics 2025, 13, 806.
Wright, C.Y. et al. (2025) “Assessing the human health risks of indoor PM2.5 exposure in urban and rural households in two provinces of South Africa,” Atmospheric Environment, 343, p. 120996.
Wali, S.U., Alias, N.B., Usman, A.A. et al. Geostatistical and multivariate analysis of phosphate evolution and its relationship with heavy metals in shallow groundwater in a Semi-Arid Basin. Earth Sci Inform 18, 267 (2025).
Sasmito, S.D. et al., incl. Page, S.E. (2025) Half of land use emissions in Southeast Asia can be mitigated through peat swamp forest and mangrove conservation and restoration. Nature Communications, 16, 740.
Holmes, R., Salzmann, U. et al., incl. M. Williams. 2025. Mangrove dynamics and resilience in North Sulawesi, Indonesia, across the Holocene. Ecological Indicators 171, 113231.
Helm, C.W., Carr, A.S. Cawthra, H.C., De Vynck J.C., Dixon, M.G., Gräbe, J-P., Rust, R., Stear, W. (2025). . Quaternary Research 124, 139-152.
Liu, D., Zhang, C., Ogaya, R., Acil, N., Pugh, T. A. M., Domene, X., Zhang, X., Fang, Y., Yang, X., Essl, F., Dullinger, S., & Peñuelas, J. (2025). World-wide impacts of climate change and nitrogen deposition on vegetation structure, composition, and functioning of shrublands. The New Phytologist. DOI: 10.1111/nph.70235
Saunois, M., Martinez, A., Poulter, B., Zhang, Z., Raymond, P., Regnier, P., Canadell, J., Jackson, R., Patra, P., Bousquet, P. (2025) 'Global methane budget 2000–2020', Earth System Science Data, 17(5), pp. 1873–1958.
Harris, S.J., Schwietzke, S., France, J.L. et al. Methane emissions from the Nord Stream subsea pipeline leaks, Nature 637, 1124–1130 (2025).
Chen, F., Parker, R., Sembhi, H., Anjum, A., Balzter, H. (2025) 'CELNet: A comprehensive efficient learning network for atmospheric plume identification from remotely sensed methane concentration images', Remote Sensing of Environment, 328, pp. 114828.
2024
Basell, Laura S., and Enza E. Spinapolice. “Time, the Middle Stone Age and lithic analyses following the Third Science Revolution.” Azania, vol. 59, no. 1, 2024, pp. 140–159.
Yildiz, Ayse, et al. “Effects of disaster education on children’s risk perception and preparedness: A quasiâ€experimental longitudinal study.” The Geographical Journal, vol. 190, no. 2, 2024.
Masters, Lizo E., et al. “Phylogenomic analysis reveals five independently evolved African forage grass clades in the genus Urochloa.” Ann Bot, vol. 133, no. 5–6, 2024, pp. 725–742.
Acil, N., Sadler, J. P., Senf, C., Suvanto, S., & Pugh, T. A. M. (2024). Landscape patterns in stand-replacing disturbances across the world’s forests. Nature Sustainability, 8(1), 86–98.
Yildiz, A. and Shaw, R. (editor, 2024): Disaster and Climate Risk Education: Insights from Knowledge to Action. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore.
2023
Feng, L., Palmer, P.I., Parker, R.J., Lunt, M.F. and Bösch, H., 2023. Methane emissions are predominantly responsible for record-breaking atmospheric methane growth rates in 2020 and 2021. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23(8), pp.4863-4880.
Waters, C.N., Turner, S.D., Zalasiewicz, J. and Head, M.J., 2023. Candidate sites and other reference sections for the Global boundary Stratotype Section and Point of the Anthropocene series. The Anthropocene Review, 10(1), pp.3-24.
Chmutina K., Von Meding J., Lizarralde G., and Bosher L.S. (2023), ‘Standardised indicators for ‘resilient cities’: The folly of devising a technical solution to a political problem’, International Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment, April 2023.
Hill B., Liang Q., Bosher L.S., Chen H. and A. Nicholson, (2023), ‘A systematic review of Natural Flood Management modelling; approaches, limitations, and potential solutions’, Journal of Flood Risk Management.
Balzter, B., Macul, M., Delaney, B., Tansey, K., Espirito-Santo, F., Ofoegbu, C., Petrovskii, S., Forchtner, B., Nicholes, N., Payo, E., Heslop-Harrison, P., Burns, M., Basell, L., Egberts, E., Stockley, E., Desorgher, M., Upton, C., Whelan, M. and Yildiz, A. (2023) 'Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Knowledge Gaps and Interdisciplinary Approaches', Sustainability 15,
2022
Maltby, J. and Hall, S.S. (2022). . Journal of Research in Personality, 47. 104193
Ray-Bennett, N.S. Clarke, K. and Mendez, D. (2022) Sendai Framework’s Global Targets A and B: Opinions from the Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction’s Ignite Stage 2019. International Journal for Disaster Risk Science (in press)
Roberts, J.F., Mwangi, R., Mukabi, F., Njui, J., Nzioka, K., Ndambiri, J.K., Bispo, P.C., Espirito-Santo, F.D.B., Gou, Y., Johnson, S.C.M., Louis, V., Pacheco-Pascagaza, A.M., Rodriguez-Veiga, P., Tansey, K., Upton, C., Robb, C. and Balzter, H. (2022): Pyeo: A Python package for near-real-time forest cover change detection from Earth observation using machine learning, Computers and Geosciences, 105192,
Cole B., Smith G., de la Barreda-Bautista B., Hamer A., Payne M., Codd T., Johnson S.C.M., Chan L.Y. and Balzter H. (2022): Dynamic landscapes in the UK driven by pressures from energy production and forestry – Results of the CORINE Land Cover map 2018. Land 11(2):192.
Pacheco-Pascagaza, A.M., Gou, Y., Louis, V., Roberts, J.F., Rodríguez-Veiga, P., da Conceição Bispo, P., Espírito-Santo, F.,D.B., Robb, C., Upton, C., Galindo, G., Cabrera, E., Pachón, I., Castillo, M.A., Carrillo, O., Meneses, C., Iñiguez, M. and Balzter, H. (2022): Near-real-time change detection system using Sentinel-2 and machine learning: a test for Mexican and Colombian forests. Remote Sensing 14(3):707.
Modugno, S., Johnson, S.C.M., Borrelli, P., Alam, E., Bezak, N. and Balzter, H. (2022): Analysis of human exposure to landslides with a GIS multiscale approach. Natural Hazards. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05186-7
Crezee, B., Dargie, G., Ewango, C., Mitchard, E., Emba, O.B., Kanyama, J.T., Bola, P., Ndjango. J-B., Girkin, N., Bocko, Y., Ifo, S., Hubau, W., Seidensticker, D., Batumike, R., Imani, G., Cuní-Sanchez, A., Kiahtipes, C., Lebamba, J., Wotzka, H-P., Bean, H., Baker, T., Baird, A., Boom, A., Morris, P., Page, S., Lawson, I. and Lewis, S. (2022) Mapping peat thickness and carbon stocks of the central Congo Basin using field data. Nature Geoscience.
Freeman, B.W.J., Evans, C.D., Musarika, S., Morrison, R., Newman, T.R., Page, S.E., Wiggs, G. F.S., Bell, N.G.A., Wen, Y., Chadwick, D.R. and Jones, D.L. (in revision) Responsible agriculture on mid-latitude peatlands must adapt to their wetland character. Global Change Biology, 28, 3795-3811.
Page, S.E., Mishra, S., Agus, F., Anshari, G., Dargie, G., Evers, S., Jauhiainen, J., Jaya, A., Jovani-Sancho, A.J., Lauren, A., Sjogersten, S., Suspense, I.A., Wijedasa, L.S. and Evans, C.D. (2022) Anthropogenic impacts on lowland tropical peatland biogeochemistry. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 3, 426–443.
Qui, C., Ciais, P., Zhu, D., Guenet, B., Chang, J., Chaudhary, N., Kleinen, T., L, X., Müller, J., Xi, Y., Zhang, W., Ballantyne, A., Brewer, S.C., Brovkin, V., Charman, D.J., Gustafson, A., Gallego-Sala, A.V., Gasser, T., Holden, J., Joos, F., Kwon, M.J., Lauerwald, R., Miller, P.A., Peng, S., Page, S.E., Smith, B., Stocker, B.D., Sannel, A.B.K., Salmon, E., Schurgers, G., Shurpali, N.J., Wårlind, D., Westermann, S. (2022) A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands. One Earth.
2021
Alam, E. and Ray-Bennett, N.S. (2021) Disaster Risk Governance of Local Level Administration in Rangamati, Bangladesh. International Journal for Disaster Risk Reduction, 59(2021): 1-13.
Ray-Bennett, N.S., Corsel, D., Goswami, N. and Bhuiyan, M. (2021) ‘RHCC Intervention: Strengthening the delivery and coverage of sexual and reproductive health care during floods in Bangladesh’ International Journal of Human Rights in Healthcare, 14(4): 327-347.
Rayner, M., Balzter, H., Jones, L., Whelan, M. and Stoate, C. (2021): Effects of improved land-cover mapping on predicted ecosystem service outcomes in a lowland river catchment. Ecological Indicators 133, 108463,
Zimbres, B., Rodríguez-Veiga, P., Shimbo, J.Z., da Conceição Bispo, P., Balzter, H., Bustamante, M., Roitman, I., Haidar, R., Miranda, S., Gomes, L., Alvim Carvalho, F., Lenza, E., Maracahipes-Santos, L., Abadia, A.C., do Prado Júnior, J.A., Mendonça Machado, E.L., Dias Gonzaga, A.P., de Castro Nunes Santos Terra, M., Marcio de Mello, J., Soares Scolforo, J.R., Rodrigues Pinto, J.R. and Alencar, A. (2021): Mapping the stock and spatial distribution of aboveground woody biomass in the native vegetation of the Brazilian Cerrado biome, Forest Ecology and Management, 499, 119615,
Worrall, F., Morrison, R., Evans, C., Kaduk, J., Page, S., Cummings, A., Rayment, M. and Kettridge, N. (2021) Are peatlands in different states with respect to their thermodynamic behaviour? A simple test of peatland energy and entropy budgets. Hydrological Processes.
Apers, S., De Lannoy, G.J.M., Baird, A.J., Cobb, A.R., Dargie, G.C., del Aguila Pasquel, J., Gruber, A., Hastie, A., Hidayat, H., Hirano, T., Hoyt, A.M., Jovani-Sancho, A.J., Katimon, A., Kurnain, A., Koster, R.D., Lampela, M., Mahanama, S.P.P., Melling, L., Page, S.E., Reichle, R.H., Taufik, M., Vanderborght, J. and Bechtold, M. (2021) Tropical peatland hydrology simulated with a global land surface model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Pre-print:
Deshmukh, C.S., Julius, D., Desai, A.R., Page, S.E., Agus, F., Astiani, D., Sabiham, S., Nardi, Susanto, A.P., Nurholis, Hendrizal, M., Asyhari, A., Kurnianto, S., Suardiwerianto, Y. and Evans, C.D. (2021) Conservation slows down emission increase from a tropical peatland in Indonesia. Nature Geoscience.
Matysek, M., Leake, J., Banwart, S., Johnson, I., Page, S., Kaduk, J., Smalley, A., Cumming, A., and Zona, D. (2021) Optimizing fen peatland water-table depth for romaine lettuce growth to reduce peat wastage under future climate warming. Soil Use and Management, 38, 341-354.
Mishra, S., Page, S.E., Cobb, A., Sancho, J.J., Huay, J.L.S., Sjogersten, S., Jaya, A., Aswandi and Wardle, D.A. (2021) Degradation of Southeast Asian tropical peatlands and integrated strategies for their better management and restoration. Journal of Applied Ecology.
Evans, C.D., Peacock, M., Baird, A.J., Artz, R., Brown, E., Burden, A., Callaghan, N., Chapman, P.J., Cooper, H. M., Coyle, M., Cumming, A., Dixon, S., Helfter, C., Heppell, C., Holden, J., Gauci, V., Grayson, R.P., Jones, D., Kaduk, J., Levy, P., Matthews, R., McNamara, N., Misselbrook, T., Oakley, S., Page, S., Rayment, M., Ridley, L.M., Stanley, K., Williamson, J., Worrall, F., Morrison, R. (2021) Overriding influence of water table on the peatland greenhouse gas balance. Nature, 593 (7860), 548-552
2020
Rodríguez-Veiga, P., Carreiras, J., Smallman, T.L., Exbrayat, J.-F., Ndambiri, J., Mutwiri, F., Nyasaka, D., Quegan, S., Williams, M. and Balzter, H. (2020): Carbon Stocks and Fluxes in Kenyan Forests and Wooded Grasslands Derived from Earth Observation and Model-Data Fusion. Remote Sensing 12, 2380.
Hamisu, I., Balzter, H. and Kaduk, J. (2020): . South Asian Journal of Parasitology, 4(1), 11-25.